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john2072
Wysłany: Sob 2:44, 02 Kwi 2011
Temat postu: Is there a flaw in the reasoning
yilai:
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and O'Keefe ran into a group of French soldiers
assumptions? First
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, that there would be no fundamental change
in human society over the next thousand years.
"For instance, suppose there were a major change in the Galaxy's technology,
such as finding a new principle for the utilization of energy, or perfecting the
study of electronic neurobiology. Social changes would render Seldon's original
equations obsolete. But that hasn't happened, has it now?"
"Or suppose that a new weapon were to be invented by forces outside the
Foundation
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, capable of withstanding all the Foundation's armaments. That might
cause a ruinous deviation, though less certainly. But even that hasn't happened.
The Mule's Nuclear Field-Depressor was a clumsy weapon and could be countered.
And that was the only novelty he presented, poor as it was.
"But there was a second assumption
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, a more subtle one! Seldon assumed that human
reaction to stimuli would r
ema
in constant. Granted that the first assumption
held true, then the second must have broken down! Some factor must be twisting
and distorting the emotional responses of human beings or Seldon couldn't have
failed and the Foundation couldn't have fallen. And what factor but the Mule?
"Am I right? Is there a flaw in the reasoning?"
Bayta's plump hand patted his gently
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